Key Career Milestones
Pioneering Market Calls & Analysis
Authored the first analysis on Wall Street to warn of Sri Lanka restructuring risks and consistently generated profitable trade ideas (multiple 10-30% total return trades during and post-default since 2022). Warned of the Maldives distressed debt situation ahead of sharp moves lower in bond prices in summer 2024, and called the turn in Mongolia coal driven macro fundamentals, resulting in sharp spread widening in February 2025.
Industry Recognition & Media Presence
Achieved top rankings in Institutional Investor’s Sovereign Debt Strategy polls for both EM Asia ex-Japan and EMEA EM. Recognized as the Go-to Analyst on Wall Street for Sri Lanka, Mongolia, Indonesia, and other Emerging Asia markets. Regularly quoted in leading financial media including the FT, Reuters, and Bloomberg.
Extensive Global Investor Engagement
Conducted 20+ investor roadshows in London, New York, and Singapore, held over 70 global investor zooms in the last two years, and led client trips to Sri Lanka and Maldives to meet policymakers. Established his firm as a key Asia voice at the IMF Annual Meetings in Washington D.C.
Broadened Thematic & Distressed Coverage
Published over 70 reports in the last two years on a wide range of Global Emerging Market and Asia topics such as impact of Trump Tariffs on Asia, China fiscal stimulus, TWD strength and Taiwanese lifers, as well as analytical reports on tactical relative value trade ideas in Asia quasi-sovereign markets. Also supports analysis on 8 Sub-Saharan sovereign credits, demonstrating broad expertise beyond Asia.
The Analytical Toolkit
Quantitative Technical Tools
Leveraging cross-comparative macro scorecards, rigorous debt sustainability analysis, and sophisticated restructuring models including state contingent instruments to provide data-driven insights.
Qualitative On-the-Ground Insights
Integrating insights from years of experience and a vast global network encompassing investors, policymakers, and multilateral institutions to cut through noise and identify high-conviction trades.
Synthesizing Complex Narratives
A core strength: synthesizing complex and always evolving macroeconomic, political, and market data into clear narratives that help investors capture asymmetric risk-reward opportunities.
Comprehensive Market Coverage
Macroeconomic Developments
Analysis of Sri Lanka’s debt crisis, Maldives’ FX outlook, Mongolia’s coal export boom, and China’s economic stimulus programs.
Political Developments
Insights on the 2024 South Korean martial law crisis, 2024 India General Elections, and Thailand PM re-shuffles.
Tactical Relative Value
Identifying opportunities across quasi-sovereign markets in Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and curve dislocations in IG sovereign bonds.
Global Thematic Pieces
Covering macro-critical topics such as the impact of potential Trump Tariffs on Asia and capital flow drivers for TWD and Taiwan lifers.