Asia macro | emerging market sovereign credit

Sharp reads on Asia macro and sovereign credit.

I break down difficult emerging market stories into what actually matters for investors, media, and policymakers.

Recognized Institutional Investor sovereign debt strategy polls
Quoted By Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, WSJ
Known For Asia EM macro, sovereign credit, restructurings
Portrait of Milo Gunasinghe
Seen in

Quoted across global financial media.

Selected publications and industry recognition.

Bloomberg
Financial Times
Reuters
The Wall Street Journal
Institutional Investor
10+ Years in emerging market fixed income markets across US investment banks in London and Hong Kong
100+ Published reports over the last year across emerging markets, Asia macro, and sovereign credit
Asia & frontiers Asia-first coverage with sovereign special situation and distress expertise across Asian and African frontier markets
Consistent Track record of Asia trade ideas for benchmark and total return investors across EM fixed income
What I do

What people usually come to me for.

Turning macro, politics, and restructuring mechanics into an investable sovereign credit view.

Investors

A cleaner read on sovereign risk, dislocations, and where the market may be mispricing them.

I turn messy macro, political, and restructuring stories into frameworks you can actually use, whether the question is sovereign credit, distressed debt, frontier fixed income, or tactical relative value.

Media

Fast context on sovereign stress, turning points, and what is actually moving markets.

When markets move, I help explain what actually matters, where the sovereign or macro pressure points are, and why fixed income is reacting the way it is without losing the nuance.

Restructurings

Where debt mechanics and market pricing finally meet.

That includes Asia sovereign stress, such as restructurings in Sri Lanka, but also special situation work in Africa across Senegal, WAEMU spillovers, Ethiopia, Zambia, and the design of state-contingent or value-recovery instruments.

Selected proof

Where the edge tends to show up.

Signature call

Sri Lanka before the consensus really got there.

Known for getting to Sri Lanka restructuring risk early, and for staying close to the story through the default and post-restructuring phases.

Africa depth

Special situations where recovery mechanics really mattered.

That includes Senegal and the wider WAEMU read-through, Ethiopia and Zambia, and the design of state-contingent or value-recovery instruments when the debate shifts from headline stress to actual recovery value.

Range

Not just one-region stories.

The work stretches across Asia sovereign and quasi-sovereign trades, China stimulus, tariff pressure, capital flows, distressed fixed income, the Iran conflict impact on Asia, and selected Africa sovereign workouts.

Market trust

Built the old-fashioned way.

Built through roadshows, policymaker access, IMF engagement, and long-standing relationships across global EM investors.

What I cover

Focus areas

  • Asia macro, sovereign credit, and frontier fixed income
  • Debt restructurings, distressed situations, and relative value
  • Country deep-dives across Sri Lanka, Mongolia, Maldives, Pakistan, and beyond
  • Macro, political, and policy shifts that move credit markets
  • Relative value opportunities across sovereign and quasi-sovereign curves
Usually where the alpha awaits.
Bottom-up deep research, plus a real feel for macro, technicals, and valuations, is usually where a good macro strategist stands out. The edge is rarely in the obvious story. It is more often in spotting what the market is misreading, understanding how the macro and technical backdrop interact, and knowing when valuations are starting to matter.